← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3709100
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder in 2026?
4.3% implied · bid 4.0¢ · ask 4.6¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 4.0%, down 11.2pt over 24h, on a 0.6¢ spread.
Implied probability4.0%
Bid / ask / mid4.0¢ / 4.6¢ / 4.3¢
Spread0.6¢ (14.0%)
Change 24h-11.20pt
Change 7d-32.70pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$151,986
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,737 / $1,703
Imbalance8% bid
Large trades (>$1k)14
Liquidity score49.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 25 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.98
RSI (14, hourly)24.6
Realized vol 7d2.15pt
Change 1h-3.20pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 118d 6h.
Time to resolve118d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%