← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3748356

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?

77.5% implied · bid 75.0¢ · ask 80.0¢

The market prices this at 80.0%, up 28.5pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability80.0%

Bid / ask / mid75.0¢ / 80.0¢ / 77.5¢

Spread5.0¢ (6.5%)

Change 24h+28.50pt

Change 7d-9.00pt

Thin (score 26/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 76% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$3,414

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$185 / $1,071

Imbalance76% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score25.6 / 100

RSI 36 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.01

RSI (14, hourly)36.0

Realized vol 7d4.05pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 2d 7h.

Time to resolve2d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%