← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3748411
Will CDU win less than 20% of all valid second votes?
11.5% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 12.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 12.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability12.0%
Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 12.0¢ / 11.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (8.7%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7d-9.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$799
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$301 / $432
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 63 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.02
RSI (14, hourly)62.5
Realized vol 7d0.91pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2d 7h.
Time to resolve2d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%