← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3748412
Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?
45.5% implied · bid 45.0¢ · ask 46.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 46.0%, down 3.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability46.0%
Bid / ask / mid45.0¢ / 46.0¢ / 45.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.2%)
Change 24h-3.00pt
Change 7d+9.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 27% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$423
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,269 / $3,245
Imbalance27% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.46
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d1.16pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2d 7h.
Time to resolve2d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%