← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3748413
Will CDU win between 23% and 26% of all valid second votes?
32.5% implied · bid 32.0¢ · ask 33.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 34.0%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability34.0%
Bid / ask / mid32.0¢ / 33.0¢ / 32.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.1%)
Change 24h+3.00pt
Change 7d+6.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,187
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$635 / $2,742
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.06
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.94pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2d 7h.
Time to resolve2d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%