← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3748414
Will CDU win at least 26% of all valid second votes?
13.5% implied · bid 13.0¢ · ask 14.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 13.0%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability13.0%
Bid / ask / mid13.0¢ / 14.0¢ / 13.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (7.4%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7d+0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$541
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$736 / $946
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.77
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.23pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2d 7h.
Time to resolve2d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%