← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3748423

Will Linke win less than 9% of all valid second votes?

4.3% implied · bid 3.6¢ · ask 4.9¢

The market prices this at 3.7%, down 0.4pt over 24h, on a 1.3¢ spread.

Implied probability3.7%

Bid / ask / mid3.6¢ / 4.9¢ / 4.3¢

Spread1.3¢ (30.6%)

Change 24h-0.40pt

Change 7d+0.45pt

Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,316

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$132 / $119

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score43.6 / 100

RSI 32 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.33

RSI (14, hourly)31.9

Realized vol 7d0.70pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 2d 7h.

Time to resolve2d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%