← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3748424
Will Linke win between 9% and 12% of all valid second votes?
51.0% implied · bid 50.0¢ · ask 52.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 50.0%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability50.0%
Bid / ask / mid50.0¢ / 52.0¢ / 51.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (3.9%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7d-4.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 14% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,603
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$923 / $2,635
Imbalance14% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.73
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d1.29pt
Change 1h+1.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2d 7h.
Time to resolve2d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%