← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3748425
Will Linke win between 12% and 15% of all valid second votes?
43.5% implied · bid 43.0¢ · ask 44.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 44.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability44.0%
Bid / ask / mid43.0¢ / 44.0¢ / 43.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.3%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7d+10.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 22% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,032
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$462 / $5,731
Imbalance22% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score48.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 33 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.98
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d0.76pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2d 7h.
Time to resolve2d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%