← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3748426
Will Linke win at least 15% of all valid second votes?
3.5% implied · bid 3.0¢ · ask 3.9¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 7.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.
Implied probability7.0%
Bid / ask / mid3.0¢ / 3.9¢ / 3.5¢
Spread0.9¢ (26.1%)
Change 24h-1.05pt
Change 7d-2.55pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,032
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$16 / $162
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 22 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.44
RSI (14, hourly)21.8
Realized vol 7d0.65pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2d 7h.
Time to resolve2d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%