← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3748547

Will SPD win less than 5% of all valid second votes?

1.3% implied · bid 0.8¢ · ask 1.8¢

The market prices this at 1.8%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability1.8%

Bid / ask / mid0.8¢ / 1.8¢ / 1.3¢

Spread1.0¢ (76.9%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-5.20pt

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$93

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$49 / $164

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.1 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.13

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d0.27pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 2d 7h.

Time to resolve2d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%