← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3748548
Will SPD win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?
27.5% implied · bid 25.0¢ · ask 30.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 31.0%, down 20.0pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.
Implied probability31.0%
Bid / ask / mid25.0¢ / 30.0¢ / 27.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (18.2%)
Change 24h-20.00pt
Change 7d+1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 13% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,318
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$45 / $10
Imbalance13% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 59 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.40
RSI (14, hourly)58.8
Realized vol 7d2.72pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2d 7h.
Time to resolve2d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%