← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3748549
Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?
58.0% implied · bid 56.0¢ · ask 60.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 60.0%, up 13.5pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
Implied probability60.0%
Bid / ask / mid56.0¢ / 60.0¢ / 58.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (6.9%)
Change 24h+13.50pt
Change 7d+0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 31/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,036
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$361 / $2,119
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score31.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 24 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.68
RSI (14, hourly)23.5
Realized vol 7d1.63pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2d 7h.
Time to resolve2d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%