← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3748550
Will SPD win at least 9% of all valid second votes?
13.3% implied · bid 11.2¢ · ask 15.3¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 11.0%, up 4.1pt over 24h, on a 4.1¢ spread.
Implied probability11.0%
Bid / ask / mid11.2¢ / 15.3¢ / 13.3¢
Spread4.1¢ (30.9%)
Change 24h+4.10pt
Change 7d+1.25pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,290
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$728 / $100
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score29.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 85 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.02
RSI (14, hourly)84.8
Realized vol 7d1.31pt
Change 1h-0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2d 7h.
Time to resolve2d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%