← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3748551

Will Grüne win less than 3% of all valid second votes?

0.7% implied · bid 0.2¢ · ask 1.2¢

The market prices this at 1.1%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability1.1%

Bid / ask / mid0.2¢ / 1.2¢ / 0.7¢

Spread1.0¢ (142.9%)

Change 24h+0.55pt

Change 7d-2.90pt

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,005

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6 / $92

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.0 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.33

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d0.20pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 2d 6h.

Time to resolve2d 6h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%