← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3748552
Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?
22.5% implied · bid 22.0¢ · ask 23.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 26.0%, down 12.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability26.0%
Bid / ask / mid22.0¢ / 23.0¢ / 22.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (4.4%)
Change 24h-12.00pt
Change 7d-7.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 17% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$9,135
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,155 / $1,506
Imbalance17% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score46.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.48
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d1.24pt
Change 1h-1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2d 7h.
Time to resolve2d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%