← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3748553
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?
63.5% implied · bid 63.0¢ · ask 64.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 64.0%, up 3.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability64.0%
Bid / ask / mid63.0¢ / 64.0¢ / 63.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.6%)
Change 24h+3.50pt
Change 7d+6.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 40% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$7,894
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,856 / $6,216
Imbalance40% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score50.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.84
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.96pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2d 6h.
Time to resolve2d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%