← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3748554

Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?

14.0% implied · bid 13.9¢ · ask 14.0¢

The market prices this at 13.3%, up 7.7pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability13.3%

Bid / ask / mid13.9¢ / 14.0¢ / 14.0¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.7%)

Change 24h+7.70pt

Change 7d+1.95pt

Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$10,072

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$400 / $1,634

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score50.5 / 100

RSI 83 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.18

RSI (14, hourly)82.8

Realized vol 7d1.10pt

Change 1h+2.45pt

Resolves in 2d 7h.

Time to resolve2d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%