← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3752064
Will Kim Ahern be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?
73.0% implied · bid 71.0¢ · ask 75.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 71.0%, down 13.0pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
Implied probability71.0%
Bid / ask / mid71.0¢ / 75.0¢ / 73.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (5.5%)
Change 24h-13.00pt
Change 7d+6.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 31/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 18% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$8,803
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$699 / $865
Imbalance18% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 38 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.49
RSI (14, hourly)38.5
Realized vol 7d3.14pt
Change 1h+2.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 5d 6h.
Time to resolve5d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%