← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3758835
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?
88.5% implied · bid 88.0¢ · ask 89.0¢
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The market prices this at 89.0%, down 3.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability89.0%
Bid / ask / mid88.0¢ / 89.0¢ / 88.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h-3.50pt
Change 7d-5.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 55/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 44% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$14,017
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,801 / $13,933
Imbalance44% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score54.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 30 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.09
RSI (14, hourly)30.4
Realized vol 7d1.33pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 26d 7h.
Time to resolve26d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%