← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3758836
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?
93.6% implied · bid 93.4¢ · ask 93.8¢
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The market prices this at 94.0%, down 0.9pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.
Implied probability94.0%
Bid / ask / mid93.4¢ / 93.8¢ / 93.6¢
Spread0.4¢ (0.4%)
Change 24h-0.90pt
Change 7d-2.45pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 73/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 36% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$5,649
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$13,039 / $37,923
Imbalance36% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score73.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 53 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.44
RSI (14, hourly)52.7
Realized vol 7d0.50pt
Change 1h+0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 57d 7h.
Time to resolve57d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%