← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3764664
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?
8.5% implied · bid 8.0¢ · ask 9.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 10.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability10.0%
Bid / ask / mid8.0¢ / 9.0¢ / 8.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (11.8%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d-3.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$677
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$708 / $334
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.62
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.24pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 57d 11h.
Time to resolve57d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%