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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3770178

Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-09-04?

16.5% implied · bid 16.0¢ · ask 17.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 17.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability17.0%
Bid / ask / mid16.0¢ / 17.0¢ / 16.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (6.1%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d-0.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 81/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 42% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,912
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$40,490 / $31,773
Imbalance42% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score81.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.20
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.19pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 2h.

Time to resolve0d 2h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth