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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3772661

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-04?

69.5% implied · bid 69.0¢ · ask 70.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 70.0%, up 6.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability70.0%
Bid / ask / mid69.0¢ / 70.0¢ / 69.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.4%)
Change 24h+6.00pt
Change 7d+11.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 27% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$136,847
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$129,569 / $250,405
Imbalance27% bid
Large trades (>$1k)14
Liquidity score95.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.50
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.71pt
Change 1h+1.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth