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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3772680

Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-09-04?

14.5% implied · bid 14.0¢ · ask 15.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 15.0%, down 3.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability15.0%
Bid / ask / mid14.0¢ / 15.0¢ / 14.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (6.9%)
Change 24h-3.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 76/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 13% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$6,014
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$21,488 / $39,540
Imbalance13% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score75.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.68
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.40pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 2h.

Time to resolve0d 2h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth