← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3772684
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-09-04?
12.5% implied · bid 12.0¢ · ask 13.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 12.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability12.0%
Bid / ask / mid12.0¢ / 13.0¢ / 12.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (8.0%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7d-6.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 70/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 21% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$13,538
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$16,220 / $34,753
Imbalance21% bid
Large trades (>$1k)3
Liquidity score70.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 33 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.14
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d0.43pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%