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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3775007

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-04?

13.5% implied · bid 13.0¢ · ask 14.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 13.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability13.0%
Bid / ask / mid13.0¢ / 14.0¢ / 13.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (7.4%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7d+0.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 89/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 48% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$35,503
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$51,636 / $36,203
Imbalance48% bid
Large trades (>$1k)3
Liquidity score88.9 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 67 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.49
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.70pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 2h.

Time to resolve0d 2h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth