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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3775011

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?

66.5% implied · bid 66.0¢ · ask 67.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 67.0%, down 5.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability67.0%
Bid / ask / mid66.0¢ / 67.0¢ / 66.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.5%)
Change 24h-5.00pt
Change 7d-3.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 21% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$570,661
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$184,924 / $509,457
Imbalance21% bid
Large trades (>$1k)19
Liquidity score95.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.08
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.92pt
Change 1h-1.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 2h.

Time to resolve0d 2h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth