← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3865960
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
55.5% implied · bid 55.0¢ · ask 56.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 51.0%, up 6.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability51.0%
Bid / ask / mid55.0¢ / 56.0¢ / 55.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.8%)
Change 24h+6.00pt
Change 7d-8.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 25% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$9,526
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$168 / $5,006
Imbalance25% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score47.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 77 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.74
RSI (14, hourly)77.3
Realized vol 7d1.03pt
Change 1h-1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 118d 12h.
Time to resolve118d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%