← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3865961
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
78.5% implied · bid 78.0¢ · ask 79.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 74.0%, up 6.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability74.0%
Bid / ask / mid78.0¢ / 79.0¢ / 78.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.3%)
Change 24h+6.00pt
Change 7d-5.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 46% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$12,360
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$156 / $6,603
Imbalance46% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score48.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 70 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.71
RSI (14, hourly)70.3
Realized vol 7d1.24pt
Change 1h-1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 118d 12h.
Time to resolve118d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%