← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3865999
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?
36.5% implied · bid 34.0¢ · ask 39.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 32.0%, up 5.5pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.
Implied probability32.0%
Bid / ask / mid34.0¢ / 39.0¢ / 36.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (13.7%)
Change 24h+5.50pt
Change 7d-12.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 26/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 12% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$11,066
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$25 / $1,165
Imbalance12% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 60 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.85
RSI (14, hourly)60.0
Realized vol 7d1.26pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 118d 12h.
Time to resolve118d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%