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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3866000

Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?

70.0% implied · bid 65.0¢ · ask 75.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 59.0%, up 8.5pt over 24h, on a 10.0¢ spread.

Implied probability59.0%
Bid / ask / mid65.0¢ / 75.0¢ / 70.0¢
Spread10.0¢ (14.3%)
Change 24h+8.50pt
Change 7d-5.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 95% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$114,862
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$22 / $16
Imbalance95% bid
Large trades (>$1k)14
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 87 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.08
RSI (14, hourly)86.8
Realized vol 7d1.77pt
Change 1h+7.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 118d 12h.

Time to resolve118d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth