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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3866002

Will Solana dip to $80 by December 31, 2026?

41.5% implied · bid 40.0¢ · ask 43.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 43.0%, up 4.5pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability43.0%
Bid / ask / mid40.0¢ / 43.0¢ / 41.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (7.2%)
Change 24h+4.50pt
Change 7d-0.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 36/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$16
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$17 / $1,351
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.7 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 55 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.65
RSI (14, hourly)54.5
Realized vol 7d1.78pt
Change 1h-1.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 118d 12h.

Time to resolve118d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth