← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3866135
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?
0.1% implied · bid 0.0¢ · ask 0.1¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 0.1%, down 34.4pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability0.1%
Bid / ask / mid0.0¢ / 0.1¢ / 0.1¢
Spread0.1¢ (200.0%)
Change 24h-34.45pt
Change 7d-9.45pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$181,090
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $227
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)4
Liquidity score49.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 36 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.07
RSI (14, hourly)35.8
Realized vol 7d5.16pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%