← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3866138
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?
100.0% implied · bid 99.9¢ · ask 100.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 99.9%, up 54.4pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability99.9%
Bid / ask / mid99.9¢ / 100.0¢ / 100.0¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)
Change 24h+54.45pt
Change 7d+94.95pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 93/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 100% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$133,993
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$86,882 / $0
Imbalance100% bid
Large trades (>$1k)11
Liquidity score92.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 70 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 4.3σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean4.35
RSI (14, hourly)70.0
Realized vol 7d4.49pt
Change 1h+0.65pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%