← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3866141

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?

0.1% implied · bid 0.0¢ · ask 0.1¢

The market prices this at 0.1%, down 17.3pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.1%

Bid / ask / mid0.0¢ / 0.1¢ / 0.1¢

Spread0.1¢ (200.0%)

Change 24h-17.25pt

Change 7d-3.95pt

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$207,590

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $253

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)13

Liquidity score49.6 / 100

RSI 42 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.22

RSI (14, hourly)41.7

Realized vol 7d1.91pt

Change 1h-0.90pt

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%