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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3866145

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?

0.1% implied · bid 0.0¢ · ask 0.1¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.1%, down 4.2pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.1%
Bid / ask / mid0.0¢ / 0.1¢ / 0.1¢
Spread0.1¢ (200.0%)
Change 24h-4.15pt
Change 7d-37.05pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$67,770
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $231
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score49.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 41 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.65
RSI (14, hourly)41.4
Realized vol 7d0.75pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth