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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3866515

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?

40.0% implied · bid 39.0¢ · ask 41.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 39.0%, up 4.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability39.0%
Bid / ask / mid39.0¢ / 41.0¢ / 40.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (5.0%)
Change 24h+4.00pt
Change 7d-38.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$11,960
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,067 / $1,023
Imbalance8% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score41.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 68 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.08
RSI (14, hourly)68.0
Realized vol 7d2.33pt
Change 1h-0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 26d 11h.

Time to resolve26d 11h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth