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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3866621

Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?

31.5% implied · bid 29.0¢ · ask 34.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 46.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability46.0%
Bid / ask / mid29.0¢ / 34.0¢ / 31.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (15.9%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 26/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$23 / $1,055
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 70 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.60
RSI (14, hourly)70.0
Realized vol 7d4.16pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 118d 11h.

Time to resolve118d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth