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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3866623

Will XRP dip to $1.20 by December 31, 2026?

58.5% implied · bid 56.0¢ · ask 61.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 63.0%, up 7.0pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability63.0%
Bid / ask / mid56.0¢ / 61.0¢ / 58.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (8.5%)
Change 24h+7.00pt
Change 7d-6.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 52% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$3
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$33 / $65
Imbalance52% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 60 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.67
RSI (14, hourly)60.0
Realized vol 7d2.28pt
Change 1h-4.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 118d 11h.

Time to resolve118d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth