← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3867166
Will Lighter dip to $3 before 2027?
52.0% implied · bid 22.0¢ · ask 82.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 80.0%, up 8.0pt over 24h, on a 60.0¢ spread.
Implied probability80.0%
Bid / ask / mid22.0¢ / 82.0¢ / 52.0¢
Spread60.0¢ (115.4%)
Change 24h+8.00pt
Change 7d-28.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 15% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance15% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 94 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.55
RSI (14, hourly)94.4
Realized vol 7d2.65pt
Change 1h+6.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 118d 12h.
Time to resolve118d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%