← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3902370

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?

68.5% implied · bid 67.0¢ · ask 70.0¢

The market prices this at 70.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability70.0%

Bid / ask / mid67.0¢ / 70.0¢ / 68.5¢

Spread3.0¢ (4.4%)

Change 24h-1.00pt

Change 7d-9.50pt

Thin (score 36/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$380

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$602 / $469

Imbalance5% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score35.5 / 100

RSI 60 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.25

RSI (14, hourly)60.0

Realized vol 7d1.32pt

Change 1h+0.50pt

Resolves in 87d 3h.

Time to resolve87d 3h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%