← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3914576
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?
85.8% implied · bid 85.5¢ · ask 86.0¢
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The market prices this at 86.0%, down 0.4pt over 24h, on a 0.5¢ spread.
Implied probability86.0%
Bid / ask / mid85.5¢ / 86.0¢ / 85.8¢
Spread0.5¢ (0.6%)
Change 24h-0.40pt
Change 7d-8.75pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 32% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,131
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$555 / $8,851
Imbalance32% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score52.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.09
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d3.73pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 33d 7h.
Time to resolve33d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%