← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3914577
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by September 25, 2026?
46.0% implied · bid 37.0¢ · ask 55.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 46.0%, down 5.5pt over 24h, on a 18.0¢ spread.
Implied probability46.0%
Bid / ask / mid37.0¢ / 55.0¢ / 46.0¢
Spread18.0¢ (39.1%)
Change 24h-5.50pt
Change 7d-4.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 23% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$773
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance23% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 53 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.12
RSI (14, hourly)52.6
Realized vol 7d2.28pt
Change 1h-1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 33d 7h.
Time to resolve33d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%