← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3914578
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 260M by September 25, 2026?
2.9% implied · bid 2.1¢ · ask 3.7¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 10.0%, down 0.3pt over 24h, on a 1.6¢ spread.
Implied probability10.0%
Bid / ask / mid2.1¢ / 3.7¢ / 2.9¢
Spread1.6¢ (55.2%)
Change 24h-0.35pt
Change 7d-40.10pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$14 / $161
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score42.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 25 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.32
RSI (14, hourly)25.0
Realized vol 7d1.47pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 33d 6h.
Time to resolve33d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%