← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3914579
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 250M by September 25, 2026?
1.8% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 2.5¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 5.9%, down 0.4pt over 24h, on a 1.5¢ spread.
Implied probability5.9%
Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 2.5¢ / 1.8¢
Spread1.5¢ (85.7%)
Change 24h-0.40pt
Change 7d-32.75pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 43/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4 / $455
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score42.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.21
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d1.13pt
Change 1h-0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 33d 7h.
Time to resolve33d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%