← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3915292
Will USD be less than 1.7M Iranian rials on September 30?
2.1% implied · bid 1.1¢ · ask 3.0¢
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The market prices this at 0.7%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 1.9¢ spread.
Implied probability0.7%
Bid / ask / mid1.1¢ / 3.0¢ / 2.1¢
Spread1.9¢ (92.7%)
Change 24h+0.05pt
Change 7d+1.65pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$43 / $0
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.91
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.19pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 26d 7h.
Time to resolve26d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%