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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3915297

Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?

9.0% implied · bid 9.0¢ · ask 9.1¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 9.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability9.0%
Bid / ask / mid9.0¢ / 9.1¢ / 9.0¢
Spread0.1¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d-2.80pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$109
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$82 / $77
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 91 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.05
RSI (14, hourly)91.3
Realized vol 7d0.44pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 25d 5h.

Time to resolve25d 5h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth