← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3915298
Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?
83.5% implied · bid 83.0¢ · ask 84.0¢
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The market prices this at 85.0%, down 3.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability85.0%
Bid / ask / mid83.0¢ / 84.0¢ / 83.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.2%)
Change 24h-3.50pt
Change 7d+44.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 14% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,309
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$376 / $4,574
Imbalance14% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 29 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.78
RSI (14, hourly)28.6
Realized vol 7d2.67pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 26d 7h.
Time to resolve26d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%