Refacto TerminalPolymarket
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3938028

Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% or less in August?

12.5% implied · bid 3.0¢ · ask 22.0¢

☆ Log in to track

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 2.0%, down 3.0pt over 24h, on a 19.0¢ spread.

Implied probability2.0%
Bid / ask / mid3.0¢ / 22.0¢ / 12.5¢
Spread19.0¢ (152.0%)
Change 24h-3.00pt
Change 7d+2.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$72
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 47 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.6σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.64
RSI (14, hourly)47.0
Realized vol 7d1.49pt
Change 1h+2.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 25d 20h.

Time to resolve25d 20h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth